Met Office 10-Day Trend: Mild November With Unsettled Weather Ahead
The UK is experiencing an unusually mild start to November, with temperatures significantly above the seasonal average. However, the Met Office's latest 10-day forecast indicates a shift towards more unsettled and changeable weather as the new working week unfolds.
Weather Pattern and Jet Stream Influence
The current mild spell is driven by a wavy jet stream over the Atlantic Ocean, causing a series of dips and troughs. One trough extends towards Iberia and is expected to deepen, keeping low pressure anchored to the south and moving towards the UK by the weekend.
Later in the weekend, another jet stream dip is predicted, forming a broader trough in the Atlantic. This fluctuating jet stream results in slow-moving weather systems, creating a pattern of low pressure to the west while high pressure holds to the east of the UK.
Temperature Highlights
Mild temperatures stand out during this period. On Thursday, daytime highs are forecasted to reach mid to high teens Celsius, with some areas hitting 15°C, 16°C, or even 17°C. These temperatures are approximately six to seven degrees warmer than typical for early November.
"Bonfire Night 2025 was record breaking 🎆 Temperatures overnight only dropped to 14."
Summary
This November’s mild conditions are set to give way to unsettled, slow-moving weather driven by a wavering jet stream, bringing contrasts between low and high pressure systems across the UK.