UFC Vegas 111: Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets
The lightweight division comes alive on November 8 at UFC Vegas 111, as Chris Padilla faces Ismael Bonfim in a matchup that pits calculated control against high-paced striking. The bout at the UFC Apex promises a clash of styles where timing meets pressure.
Chris Padilla: Measured Pressure and Grappling Edge
Standing at 5'9" with a 74-inch reach, Chris Padilla enters the fight with a 16-6 record. Known for balanced offense, he lands 4.13 strikes per minute at 51% accuracy while taking 3.68. His defense rate of 57% shows strong awareness against returning shots.
Padilla’s wrestling adds depth to his game. Averaging 1.56 takedowns per bout at 30% accuracy and 0.5 submission attempts, he maintains complete takedown defense, keeping control of where the action unfolds.
Ismael Bonfim: Explosive Striking and Speed
Ismael Bonfim, at 5'8" with a 71-inch reach, holds a 20-5 record. His aggressive output stands out with 5.73 strikes landed per minute at 55% accuracy, while absorbing just 3.10. Bonfim’s defensive rate reaches 70%, displaying elite evasion and timing.
While primarily a striker, his grappling stats show limited engagement — 0.96 takedowns per fight at 33% accuracy, 76% takedown defense, and no submission attempts. However, his four career submission losses hint at potential ground vulnerabilities.
Matchup Outlook
"Padilla’s technical steadiness will collide with Bonfim’s flash and volume, making this lightweight clash one of the card’s most intriguing fights."
The fight could hinge on whether Padilla can impose control and absorb Bonfim’s pressure or if Bonfim’s speed will break Padilla’s rhythm first.
Key Stats Summary
- Padilla: 5'9", 74" reach, 16-6 record
- Striking: 4.13 landed per minute, 51% accuracy, 57% defense
- Grappling: 1.56 takedowns per fight (30% accuracy), 100% defense
- Bonfim: 5'8", 71" reach, 20-5 record
- Striking: 5.73 landed per minute, 55% accuracy, 70% defense
- Grappling: 0.96 takedowns per fight (33% accuracy), 76% defense
Author’s Summary
Two contrasting lightweights meet at UFC Vegas 111—Padilla’s composure and ground control against Bonfim’s precision and intensity promise a tactical striking duel.